1,190
MW · 2024
Distributed solar PV
NREAP estimate; not a live registry total.
Source: Lebanese Center for Energy ConservationCapacity, finance and delivery
Market briefing
Current official estimates sit beside policy targets and investment models - but never in the same evidence bucket.
Unit rule
MW denotes capacity. GWh denotes energy. Approved, licensed, estimated and commissioned assets are not interchangeable.
1,479
MW · 2024
Total renewable capacity
Source: Lebanese Center for Energy Conservation40
% · 2030
Renewable electricity share
Source: Lebanese Center for Energy Conservation4,320
MW · 2030
Renewable capacity
Source: Lebanese Center for Energy Conservation25
% · 2035
Renewable electricity demand share
Source: UNFCCC30
% · 2035
Renewable electricity demand share
Source: UNFCCC250
USD million · 2024 approval
Committed project finance
Source: World Bank743
USD million · 2025 model
Potential private investment
Source: United Nations Development Programme165
MW · 2022
Licensed utility solar cohort
Licensed, not necessarily commissioned.
Source: Lebanese Center for Energy Conservation41
% or more · 2026 publication
Households reporting curtailment
Source: Issam Fares Institute, American University of BeirutWhat the numbers say - and do not say
Distributed solar has become material
The NREAP estimates 1,190 MW of distributed PV in 2024. That is an official planning estimate, not a continuously reconciled national asset registry. Other studies use different totals and methods.
Scenarios remain conditional
The NREAP Realistic Scenario reaches 40% renewables by 2030. It depends on demand, reforms, finance, grids and projects. The Atlas therefore labels it “scenario,” not “forecast.”
Investment models reveal risk costs
UNDP’s updated DREI model estimates how public measures could reduce financing costs. Its USD 743 million figure is modeled private investment, not a committed pipeline.
Licensing is an intermediate milestone
The 165 MW solar cohort received Cabinet approvals in 2022. Readers should verify PPA effectiveness, financial close, construction and commissioning separately.
Segments represented in the metric ledger: Installed capacity; NREAP Realistic Scenario; NDC unconditional; NDC conditional; LRESRP; DREI scenario; Approved licences; IFI household survey.